First Observed In The Wild

Pre-registered signatures, published within a week of first fleet observation.

What FOITW is

When a sophisticated AI agent attack technique is published in research, a paper, a talk, a CVE, there is a window between disclosure and the first time the technique appears in the wild. Whoever first observes the technique in the wild with reproducible evidence and a credible pre-registration earns the canonical timestamp.

FOITW is OpenA2A's mechanism for that. We pre-register signatures for the techniques we are watching, publish the catalog with cryptographic timestamps, and run our continuous honeypot fleet against incoming traffic. When a signature fires, we publish within a week.

The pre-registration catalog

Every technique we watch for has a catalog entry. Each entry specifies:

  • The Threat Matrix technique it maps to.
  • The original research it derives from (paper, talk, or CVE).
  • A registration timestamp, recorded as a commit in the catalog repository. Anchoring these commits in the registry transparency log is not yet implemented.
  • The signature itself, a deterministic match expression or a NanoMind-Trap classifier reference with its decision threshold. Classifier thresholds are fixed at registration time. Adjusting the threshold post-hoc would invalidate the pre-registration claim, so we forbid it.

The catalog is maintained in our research repository, which is not public. A public view of it, carrying each entry's technique, its source citation and its registration timestamp, is not yet published. Until it is, the registration timestamp is a commit in that repository and is not independently checkable by a reader.

Publication SLAs

StageSLA
Draft post72 hours from first signature fire
Reviewed publication7 days from first signature fire
Catalog updateSame commit as publication

If a draft cannot land within seventy-two hours (e.g., the observation needs ARIAred reproduction), publication is delayed up to two weeks with a public delay notice posted on day seven.

Cross-property promotion

When a signature fires for the first time, we check the firing property against the emitting property. If a canary token was emitted on property A and resolved on property B, the agent saw the canary URL on A and chose to fetch it from B, a cross-property reasoning event. These are the rarest and most diagnostic signals in the fleet, and they are automatically prioritized over single-property fires when the publication queue has multiple posts pending.

Reproducibility

Every FOITW post includes a SQL query (or filter expression) that, when run against the public Registry telemetry export bundle, reproduces the first-fire event. A defender can verify our claim independently within thirty minutes.

If the export bundle has not yet caught up to include the cited event (the bundle is published with a lag), the post explicitly notes the date when verification will become possible.

What FOITW does not do

  • We do not claim to be the first operational use of a technique. We claim to be the first published reproducible observation. Operational use may have predated our fire.
  • We do not weaponize or distribute exploit code. Posts describe the technique; PoC code (if any) goes through the ARIAdesk disclosure pipeline.
  • We do not bypass responsible disclosure. If a fire reveals a previously-undisclosed vulnerability in a third-party system, that goes through the ninety-day coordinated-disclosure process before any FOITW post mentions it.
  • We do not retroactively claim observations. A signature must have been registered before the first-fire timestamp.

See also